The Brave Budget Neither Side Wrote
Tasmania's 2026-27 budget and the Greens' alternative reach the same surplus by opposite roads. I ran the numbers on both — and neither was brave enough.
Tag: economics
4 posts
The Economics of Inadequate Safety
AI safety fails when it is funded like a pilot. Until safety has a real price, the J-curve trough is also a safety trough.
The AI Productivity J-Curve: Why Most Enterprise AI Fails
90% of companies plan to increase AI investment. 1% consider themselves AI-mature. The J-Curve explains why — and how to survive the trough.
Reconciling the Great Divergence
Four major forecasters publish wildly divergent numbers for AI's economic impact. The divergence is the analysis — what the spread tells us.